Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.004789 0.005418 0.006136 0.007021 0.008096 0.009373 0.011027
2025-12-21 0.004020 0.004839 0.005860 0.007255 0.009162 0.011756 0.015703
2025-12-28 0.003624 0.004551 0.005784 0.007601 0.010327 0.014480 0.021796
2026-01-04 0.003275 0.004244 0.005592 0.007698 0.011102 0.016812 0.028309
2026-01-11 0.002968 0.003938 0.005338 0.007629 0.011566 0.018742 0.035086
2026-01-18 0.002745 0.003718 0.005170 0.007647 0.012157 0.021071 0.044168
2026-01-25 0.002518 0.003465 0.004912 0.007465 0.012334 0.022627 0.052530
2026-02-01 0.002294 0.003194 0.004594 0.007126 0.012130 0.023289 0.058962
2026-02-08 0.002100 0.002952 0.004299 0.006784 0.011846 0.023679 0.064977
2026-02-15 0.002008 0.002861 0.004241 0.006865 0.012459 0.026518 0.083176
2026-02-22 0.001888 0.002717 0.004077 0.006722 0.012551 0.028020 0.098024
2026-03-01 0.001775 0.002575 0.003905 0.006541 0.012519 0.029171 0.113237
2026-03-08 0.001678 0.002459 0.003781 0.006466 0.012794 0.031637 0.143375
2026-03-15 0.001628 0.002420 0.003791 0.006671 0.013835 0.037363 0.218835
2026-03-22 0.001595 0.002406 0.003845 0.006978 0.015252 0.045704 0.381808
2026-03-29 0.001537 0.002344 0.003802 0.007065 0.016086 0.052528 0.622861
2026-04-05 0.001468 0.002257 0.003702 0.007003 0.016467 0.057703 0.961444
2026-04-12 0.001413 0.002192 0.003639 0.007019 0.017105 0.065063 1.749905
2026-04-19 0.001345 0.002097 0.003510 0.006858 0.017117 0.068934 2.791163
2026-04-26 0.001268 0.001983 0.003333 0.006557 0.016578 0.068911 3.632077
2026-05-03 0.001196 0.001875 0.003161 0.006251 0.015966 0.068045 4.524366
2026-05-10 0.001165 0.001841 0.003138 0.006324 0.016742 0.078236 16.301234
2026-05-17 0.001118 0.001774 0.003043 0.006196 0.016742 0.082618 50.750288